European agricultural machinery sales expected to drop further this year
Following a sales decrease in 2015, the European agricultural machinery industry is experiencing a difficult year in 2016, with sales expected to drop further.
CEMA, the European agricultural machinery body, has said that agricultural machinery sales in almost all markets of the CEMA network (Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Spain, UK) are down in the first half of 2016.
It is expected that markets will decline further in the second half of 2016 with rates of decline up to 9%, as in Germany.
Spain is a notable exception with an expected increase of 9.5% in 2016 and CEMA has said that the French market is also performing well so far (+7%), yet is expected to weaken during the second half of the year to decline by 2%.
The downward trend can be observed for all major machinery types with the exception of sprayers.
CEMA attributes the decrease in sales to a drop in demand for tractors between 50 and 250 horsepower as it is this power category that is mostly bought by farmers that are currently facing a difficult situation due to low commodity and milk prices.
Furthermore, it said that these difficulties could aggravate given mixed wheat harvest results in many European countries and continuously strong global supply.
For tractors below 50hp, demand is stable, while demand for high horsepower tractors is even increasing.
France (+16.1%), Spain (+10.7%) and Belgium (+5%) are the CEMA countries where demand for tractors was increasing so far. Austria (-3.8%), Denmark (-10.3%), Germany (-9.7%), Italy (-4.4%), the Netherlands (-7.7%) and UK (-8.5%) are facing lower sales in the first months of 2016.
The economic experts of CEMA expect that total tractor sales in the above-mentioned countries will decrease by approximately 3.3% over the whole of 2016.
Looking at other machinery types, the combine harvester market is down in all CEMA markets with an overall decrease of 8.3%.
The decrease is lowest in Belgium with 4% and highest in the Netherlands with 28%. For forage harvesters, CEMA expects total demand to fall by 12% in 2016.
Here, the Belgian and Spanish markets are the only ones that are to face an increase in sales, while other markets will likely decline by in between 10% to 20%.
A decrease is also seen in the European mower market which is declining by 8.6%, with the drop is present in most markets and reaching up to 14% in Germany.
Exceptions are France and Italy where the market is stable and Spain where the market for mowers is even growing. The market for balers also fell by 8.6%. Apart from Spain where the market is stable all markets went down at rates of up to 16.7% in Italy.
The current business mood is also reflected in CEMA’s monthly barometer which dropped to a record low in August. Around half of the respondents believe demand will further decrease further in pretty much all markets in the next six months.
As a monthly survey that is sent to the European agricultural machinery industry and covers all the major product categories, the CEMA Barometer provides a regular overview of the business mood based on current business sentiment and the expected turnover in the next six months.