EU forecasts increase in maize and barley production

The European Commission has increased its estimates for both maize and barley production in 2015/16 in its latest balance sheet and forecast update.

Barley production in the EU has been raised to 59.5m tonnes from 58.6m tonnes forecast in April, according to the forecast.

Maize production in the EU has been raised to 68.1m tonnes from 66.3m tonnes forecast from April, it says.

This latest maize forecast is 12.5% lower from the estimate given at the same time last year while barley is down 1.2%, the figures show.

Prospects look favourable so far for maize crops across Europe with spring sowing complete, the Home-Grown Cereals Authority (HGCA) says.

The forecast for EU soft wheat production remains largely unchanged at 141.5m tonnes down from 141.6m tonnes forecast for April.

Although this forecast predicts a slightly lower production figure, a recent report from MARS showed a slight upward revision in the yield estimate for soft wheat (5.93t/ha from 5.89t/ha) due to continued good growing conditions, the HGCA says.

Commission cereals production

In contrast to the EU, recent bad weather in the US has raised concerns over potential crop damage to the US wheat crop in the US Plains, the HGCA says.

Chicago wheat futures (Dec-15) prices hit the highest level seen in just over a week (closing at $195.00/t on June 2) and Nov-15 UK feed wheat futures closed at £124.75/t, the highest price since April 23 and up £4.05/t week on week, the HGCA says.

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